NFL Super Bowl Betting

Shop for Value

Value can be found in any betting market depending on line movement and odds shopping. But remember: the oddsmakers can’t afford to make a mistake when it comes to the most-wagered game of the year.

NFL Super Bowl betting is the sharpest market bettors will see all year. That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t bet on the game, but you certainly shouldn’t wager on the game for a significant amount of money simply because it’s the culmination of the NFL season.

Consider a random Thursday Night Football game, where you take a look at the game, line shop and find no edge. You wouldn’t bet on the game, just because it was the only game that night. The same logic should be used for betting on the Super Bowl.

Don’t Feel Pressured to Bet

Placing a small wager for the enjoyment of the game makes perfect sense. But if you’re not a fan of the available markets, you shouldn’t feel pressured to place a wager. That said, there are certainly profitable Super Bowl markets when it comes to the title game.

Super Bowl betting lines and totals will be affected by public betting patterns more than most markets because of a large number of recreational or “square” action that comes in – compared to normal contests.

Bet the Early Line

Like most NFL games, sharp bettors move the line early. The public moves the lines later in the week. Professional-level bettors bet much sooner while recreational gamblers often wait until the day of the game to place a bet – or, in some cases, minutes before the event.

It’s tough to predict line movement, but if you like the early number and are afraid of line movement going the other way, go ahead and bet the early line. If you anticipate the public moving the odds in your favor, it may be best to wait.

Remember, the Super Bowl happens two weeks after the Conference Championship weekend concludes, so the timetable for the market to mature is a bit longer.

Super Bowl betting lines may not move much because the oddsmakers are very careful about their opening number. They don’t want to give “steam” bettors a chance to catch them off guard on such a highly wagered event.

Place Prop Bets

Bettors will usually find more value in player and team props, which is often the case in the regular season as well. These bets are amplified for Super Bowl betting online.

While their betting limits are much lower than sides and totals, they’re created for recreational action and aren’t monitored closely by the sportsbooks.